| Moving Average Convergence Divergence – Part Three |
| Written by Jason Sidney | ||||
| Tuesday, 11 April 2006 00:00 | ||||
Page 1 of 2 Following on from the previous article on the MACD indicator we established two ways the MACD indicator can give buy and sell signals but which also suggested the strength of the underlying trend. Taking this a step further, in this article we will now explore the effect of using these methods on different timeframes and how different timeframe charts can be used to back up and confirm the signals occurring on other timeframes. The more you work with charts the more you will begin to appreciate the importance of ‘Time’. The bigger the timeframe the more important the signal, the more reliable it is and the bigger the move you are likely to get. Following on from this idea it would be fair to say a buy signal occurring on a monthly chart would be of more significance then a buy signal occurring on a weekly chart, and a buy signal occurring on a weekly chart would be of more importance than a buy signal occurring on a daily chart and so on. Â It’s when at least two of these timeframes begin to agree with each other that things start to get interesting from a trading and analysis point of view. Looking now at the monthly chart of the Hang Seng Index (Figure 1) you can see three clear crossovers from the averages, two are buy signals and one is a sell signal.
Figure 1 – Hang Seng Index (Monthly Chart) The thing to note is on the weekly chart (Figure 2) that follows are confirmation signals that back up and confirm the buy and sell signals that are occurring from the crossovers of the averages on the monthly chart. A close look at the weekly chart shows both MACD averages crossing through the zero line of the histogram at roughly the same time as the crossovers from the averages are occurring on the monthly chart.   It’s when two timeframes begin to agree with each other that significant moves can occur, giving you the chance to identify and possibly open positions in the early stages of the new emerging long term trend. |